Warm up is coming, but it will not be dry; Look at the Pacific Ocean that is full of storms

We are now going to change a major weather pattern. Warmth will be brought by several storm systems where Michigan should be on the warm side of the storm.

Look at the Pacific Ocean. This current satellite animation clearly shows us that there are numerous storms stretching across the Pacific Ocean. I count six separate storm systems in this satellite sector.

the storm

Satellite images show the storm stretching across the Pacific Ocean. The US West Coast is on the right side of the screen.

Storms will do a few things to Michigan weather. Storm systems should mostly take routes just west of Michigan. This means we enter the warm sector ahead of the storm system. This time of year means temperatures in the 30s and 40s and even a few days in the 50s.

With the storm systems coming in just a few days apart, it doesn’t allow much cold air to sink into Michigan behind the storms. We will begin another warm-up as the next storm system approaches.

So the general formula for Michigan weather over the next two weeks is two warm days, a rainy or wet snowy day, and then a cool day. The next warm-up will start right after the cold day.

The storm system we can time right now will happen this Friday, next Tuesday, and next Friday This Friday’s weather-maker looks weak with only occasional showers. Tuesday’s storm system looks stronger with slightly heavier, more widespread rain. Next Friday’s storm can only be predicted right now, but not the intensity.

Here’s a general look at how much rain we could expect by next Wednesday, January 4, 2023.

the rain

Total rainfall forecast from December 26, 2022 to the end of January 3, 2023

Here’s a simple example of how much warmth is on the way.

the warmth

High temperature forecast for Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Lower Michigan should warm into at least the 40s early next week. Most of the above forecasts project warming into the 50s. That may be too optimistic for cities that recently had two feet of snow, like Grand Rapids.

Eight to 14-day temperature forecasts still call for much warmer than normal temperatures.

the warmth

Temperature forecast from January 2nd to January 8th

The temperature forecast extending to January 20 shows continued warming from normal weather patterns.

the warmth

The very long-range temperature forecast from January 7 to January 20 shows warmer than normal weather.

With the parade of storms across the Pacific, I would expect a solid wet pattern every three to five days.

That doesn’t mean winter is over in Michigan. Only a few weeks of break in cold weather. Even if normal cold returns in the second half of January, we could find ourselves in for a big snowstorm or two.

At this point I’d say the first two weeks of January won’t feel much like January.

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